Thoughts on Gaza
The best-known story in Tanach about Gaza is of course the story of Samson. One can read the story of Samson, alternatively, either as an allegory of the futility of strength and power, or of the futility of weakness and powerlessness. (I think of that line from the Peter, Paul, and Mary song from the 1960s, if I had my way in this wicked world, I would tear this building down.) And not much has changed.
Of all the insoluble problems of the Israel-Palestine conflict, Gaza is perhaps the most intractable. The problem with the West Bank is that everyone wants to live there. The problem with Gaza is that no one wants to live there, least of all most of its residents, most of whom are descended from Palestinian refugees from 1948, and who have been trapped in Gaza for many years. I dont know how, precisely, the occupation of the West Bank will be resolved, but it will no doubt be some sort of partition and shared sovereignty. I have no idea how the problem of Gaza will be resolved.
Israels slow but steady effort to control the West Bank ever more completely has gone, for the last forty-seven years more or less according to a master plan, implicit or explicit. Let more and more settlers in, maintain the ubiquitous presence or threat of a presence of IDF troops, and grind down Palestinian autonomy to its barest minimum. Very little in Gaza has gone according to plan. Israel allowed Hamas to flourish in the early 1980s as a supposedly less political organization than Fatah. That didnt work out very well. And since Jews really didnt want to live in Gaza, efforts to turn it into a settler state, like the West Bank failed as well. Sharon faced facts in 2005 when he pulled out the 8,000 or so settlers, so he would no longer need about twice as many IDF forces on the ground to protect them. But he was counting on Fatah strongmen to keep Hamas in line and in check, and that hasnt worked out either.
And so we are currently in the third of what Juan Cole has called the Gaza groundhog day wars, all more or less the same, and none of them resolving anything at all, and they get to repeat it all over again in a year or so. And this current crisis started with another Israeli miscalculation, using the horrible kidnapping of the yeshivah students to try to break Hamas in the West Bank, the horrible revenge murder, and then the utterly predictable response by Hamas to re-light the fires of the smoldering Hamas-Israeli war. Perhaps Israel thought that with the new government in Egypt, and Hamas bereft of allies, it would refrain from upping the ante, but this goes against the past history of the organization, and the logic of Samsonwhen you are trapped in Gaza, and in chains, you might as well try to pull the building down, at whatever casualty to yourself, just to show you still have some fight in you.
As so the usual claims and counter-claims fly like the rockets and the bombs,
making life miserable for everyone on both sides, as Ayalas moving post amply demonstrates. And now Israel has put itself in a position where anything less than a re-occupation of Gaza, which Netanyahu does not want to do, will seem like a wimping out, with the alternative of letting Hamas stay in power, which Israel does not want to do either. The one safe prediction is that, whatever happens, both sides will be losers.
What can be done in the long term? I have no good ideas. People speak of a Palestinian right of return but perhaps a more basic right is the right to leave, the right that any person should have to be able to exit a country when life there becomes intolerable. Eventually, the borders of Gaza will have to open, whether Israel wants it or not. And I hope Hamas can find a different way of fighting Israel other than these futile but scary bombardments. I also hope that the Fatah-Hamas reconciliation government is not killed in this war (which may well have been Israels intention.) It is a thin reed, perhaps, but all those who want peace can do nowadays is grasp at straws.
Meanwhile, Gazas Hamas government has succeeded in making life more miserable for the Gazans, and Israel has managed to further damage the popularity and credibility of Fatah and Abbas, and only strengthening Hamas and its will to resist Israel. Groundhogs Day indeed.